Nowcast of US GDP (4th quarter, 2025)

This page is totally new.

This page discusses the nowcast of US GDP. Usually, the release of GDP is delayed by a month, whereas the Wilshire 5000 index is released immediately. This page predicts the unpublished value of GDP based on the Buffett indicator. The indicator’s quarterly dynamics are “well-behaved.” See what we can say about the US stock price level relative to GDP.

See the page (https://has4er.tokyo/us-site/us_buffett_indicator_05012025) for details.