Updated Graph of Buffett Indicator (3rh quarter, 2023)
We update the Buffett Indicator up to the 3rd quarter of 2023. During the 3rd quarter of 2023, the Wilshire 5000 index has increased by 6.6% since the 2nd quarter, which would be higher than the infraction rate of the US. Although the US economy and stock markets are uncertain in the coming quarters, the Buffett Indicator might hit the bottom and be rising.
Year | Quarter | Nominal GDP (red, left scale) | Wilshire5000 Index Quarterly mean (blue, right scale) | Wilshire5000 Index Fitted value (red, right scasle) | Wilshire5000 Index Q.mean÷F.value |
2021 | 1st | 22,600 | 192.7 | 123.4 | 1.561 |
2nd | 23,292 | 207.9 | 130.4 | 1.594 | |
3rd | 23,829 | 219.3 | 136.0 | 1.613 | |
4th | 24,655 | 228.2 | 144.8 | 1.576 | |
2022 | 1st | 25,029 | 219.6 | 148.9 | 1.475 |
2nd | 25,544 | 201.2 | 154.5 | 1.303 | |
3rd | 25,995 | 196.5 | 159.6 | 1.231 | |
4th | 26,408 | 190.8 | 164.3 | 1.161 | |
2023 | 1st | 26,814 | 199.2 | 168.9 | 1.179 |
2nd | 27,063 | 208.5 | 171.8 | 1.213 | |
3rd | N/A | 222.3 | N/A | N/A |
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