Updated Graph of Buffett Indicator (3rd quarter, 2024)

This page presents the updated graph of the Buffett Indicator for the US stock markets. The Buffett Indicator (the right-most column) has steadily increased since the 4th quarter of 2022. The index was 1.179, then. However, the index does not reach the previous peak in the 3rd quarter of 2021. The index was 1.594, then. This year, because the Wilshire 5000 Price Index rose by 5.2% in the 3nd quarter, the index will likely increase from 1.399 in the 2st quarter. A presidential election will be in the 4th quarter, so the stock price index will be uncertain. See what happens in the 4th quarter.

YearQuarterNominal GDP
(red, left scale)
Wilshire 5000 Price Index
Quarterly mean (blue, right scale)
Wilshire 5000 Price Index
Fitted value (red, right scasle)
Wilshire 5000 Price Index
Quarterly mean / Fitted value
20211st22,60040,52526,7101.517
2nd23,29243,58127,8511.565
3rd23,82945,02628,7461.594
4th24,65547,51930,1371.577
20221st25,02945,56530,7751.481
2nd25,54441,62731,6571.315
3rd25,99540,44832,4341.247
4th26,40839,09933,1531.179
20231st26,81440,64033,8611.200
2nd27,06342,37034,2991.235
3rd27,61044,97835,2651.275
4th27.95744,87035,8811.251
20241st28,26950,23336,4391.379
2nd28,62951,87737,0841.399
3rdN/A54,591N/AN/A
Nominal GDP : (Seasonality adjusted, annual rate) Billion $, Wilshire 5000 Price Index