Review of US Buffett Indicator (2025Q3)

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This page discusses the review of US (empirical) Buffett indicator. Due to the shutdown of the US Government, the GDP data was finally released recently. This page reviews the US Buffett indicator and predicts the Wilshire 5000 index for 2025 Q4. The empirical Buffett indicator is now just below its long-term equilibrium, which may indicate its upper limit. Consequently, the Wilshire 5000 index appears very high relative to its mean across 10,000 simulations for 2025Q3.

The mean of the Wilshire 5000 index would be about 66.5 billion $ for 2025Q4, whereas it was 63.27 billion $ for 2025Q3. The index is very high relative to its long-term equilibrium, now.

See the page (https://has4er.tokyo/us-site/us_buffett_indicator_05012025) for details.